The challenge this week is to create a post that reflects on the views we see as we go along our journeys. The views that we see are far different from up high from our mountain and hill experiences than the ones we see from the valleys and swamp experiences in our lives. For this challenge the posts can share a current view or or a reflection on ones that we enjoyed back aways. It might be interesting if there were even posts that might be about views that we may see up the road even as we predict what the journey ahead of us might be like.
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My response to this challenge has more to do with a journey in understanding than physically going somewhere.
Have you ever wondered about how accurate weather forecasts are? I have seen estimates that ranged from as low as 20% to as high as 75%. It’s rough for weather forecasters. They have to study the weather maps, understand isotherms and temperature gradients, high and low pressure areas and the associated isobars, warm and cold fronts and their movement, and many other things most of us have never heard of.
Because I’ve never been trained in any of those things, I’m not boasting when I say that the weather forecasters in Southern California have to be the best in the world. Only 20%? Hah, our forecasters are so close to 100% most of the time that they can’t be matched.
To be a weather forecaster in SoCal, you need only to look out your window as you’re driving to work. When the camera comes on, you say something such as, “Today will be pretty much like yesterday. It’ll be a bit warmer in some areas and a bit cooler in other regions. Tomorrow will be almost the same as today.”
There -- you have a SoCal weather forecast and you’re almost assured that you’re going to be right.
What bothers me, though, is some of the terminology they use. For instance, what’s the difference between “partly cloudy” and “partly sunny?” When it’s “mostly sunny,” how much of the sky will be covered with clouds? If it’s “mostly cloudy,” how much of the sky will have no clouds?
To solve this problem, I embarked on a highly scientific experiment yesterday. The forecast said it would be “mostly sunny” so I went out and took pictures of the sky.
Here’s “mostly sunny” looking north from my house.
Next is “mostly sunny” looking to the east.
Then “mostly sunny” to the southeast looked like this.
Then there’s another “mostly sunny” looking to the southeast.
Finally there’s “mostly sunny” looking to the south.
It didn’t make any sense to take pictures looking west because there was nothing but blue skies.
With such empirical data, I’d appreciate it if you could come up with a table to show what the sky will look like when it’s “partly sunny” or “partly cloudy.”